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Is AC Milan better without Rafael Leao? The numbers spark debate

Wajih by Wajih
19 May 2026
in Insights, Primo Piano
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Rafael Leao of AC Milan لياو ميلان

Rafael Leao of AC Milan (Getty Images)

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On Sunday, Milan returned to winning ways after two consecutive defeats against Sassuolo and Atalanta, doing so by claiming victory away at Genoa. At the Ferraris stadium, Max Allegri had to do without three suspended players, including Rafael Leao, who more than ever this season is dividing the Milan fanbase between those who consider him, despite everything, indispensable and those who cannot wait for him to be sold.

But is Milan stronger with or without Leao on the pitch?

Here is what the numbers say:

With Leao:

Matches played: 28
Wins: 13
Draws: 9
Defeats: 6
Points average: 1.7
Goals scored average: 1.1

Without Leao:

Matches played: 9
Wins: 7
Draws: 1
Defeats: 1
Points average: 2.4
Goals scored average: 2.2

Milan, the numbers speak clearly:

The data just reported speaks rather clearly: without Leão, Milan performs better because it earns more points and scores more than when the number 10 of Milan is on the pitch. Just a coincidence? It would seem not, given that we are not talking about a small number of matches. At the same time, it must also be said that, despite everything, Rafa is Milan’s top scorer this season (alongside Pulisic) with 10 goals, and nobody at Milan has scored more than him in this Serie A (9 goals).

Leao-Milan at a crossroads?

Many were convinced that the arrival of Max Allegri as head coach would finally bring Leão to the next level, but that has not been the case. In fact, this may be the season that marks the end of his spell in the red and black shirt after seven years. Compared to previous summers, the Portuguese is no longer untouchable, and the club is ready to listen to offers that come in. After a very turbulent season in which something also seems to have broken with the Milan fans (he has often been booed in recent weeks), the story between Leão and Milan could be reaching its conclusion, as relayed via Milannews.it.

Rafael Leao AC Milan لياو ميلان
Rafael Leao of AC Milan (Getty Images)
Tags: LeaoMilan
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Wajih

Wajih

A writer, passionate about football: Serie A and AC Milan in particular. For business inquiries, contact: wajihmzoughi1996 [at] gmail [dot] com

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